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Background of the budget gap We have a structural gap in the California state budget. It has varied year by year, but runs in the multiple billions of dollars. The Wall Street financial meltdown and national recession, the worst in many decades, is wreaking further havoc on the budget of the state and our ability to fund necessary public services. But that's not where most of our budget problem comes from.
Over the last several years, the previous governor and Legislature signed bad budgets, relying on borrowing schemes and inadequate revenues. In 2011 the state is projected to run a new deficit estimated at around $18 billion, and $25 billion over the next 18 months. Governor Jerry Brown and the Legislature have already proposed cutting state spending—and the services it buys—by $11 billion. The other half of Brown's budget proposal included extending temporary taxes that are scheduled to sunset in June, worth around $12 billion.
However, to pass this part of Brown's proposal he needs a two-thirds supermajority of the Legislature, and he doesn't have it.
Solving the budget gap in California requires a reasonable solution—one that the Republicans are pointedly ignoring, along with their role in creating the problem. This is a large state, with the largest population in the United States, and an economy that, if it were a country's, would be the seventh or eighth largest in the world. The budget problem can't be solved by cuts alone, because state program reductions of such a magnitude threaten the future well-being of California and everyone who lives in it.
We need instead to extend the temporary taxes, at least. This is the bottom below which we cannot fall. But this is not enough. We need also to increase state revenues with carefully considered tax increases, especially closing tax loopholes for those who can most afford to pay: the wealthy and large corporations. Taking these actions will allow us to fund the social programs we need.
Mostly undiscussed, but crucial to understanding California's problem, is that the state Legislature, to get a recalcitrant minority of anti-tax legislators to pass state budgets, has rescinded and reduced numerous taxes. Each year since 1991, the state budget's ability to generate revenue has been compromised by removing one or more taxes. This has meant the accumulated loss of many billions of dollars in revenue (scroll to p. 11) contributing greatly to the current deficit.
Indeed, the Vehicle License Fee alone was worth $4 billion per year when Schwarzenegger, to great applause by the legislative Republicans, eliminated it. Two years ago, Schwarzenegger was forced by growing deficits to quietly restore part of the VLF—without mentioning in public his about face.
Public services in general, and public education in particular, have been underfunded in California since 1978 and the enactment of Proposition 13. This law substantially shifted the burden of funding many locally delivered services to the state, without providing appropriate mechanisms to pay for them. Increased spending on education in the late 1990s and into 2001, thanks to strong revenues from a boom economy, was finally beginning to address years of neglect. Now the gains of these years have been reversed. Per pupil funding in California now ranks 47th in the nation.
What to do about it: fair tax policies The revenue options below would raise an estimated $13 billion per year (and more when the economy recovers from the recession), essentially solving the state's structural budget problem:
- Reinstate the full vehicle license fee ($2.3 billion/year, with the adjustment already factored in)
- Bring the top income tax brackets back up from 9.3% to 10% (individuals who make more than $250,000/year) and 11% (individuals who make more than $500,000/year) ($5 billion/year)
- Re-assess non-residential real property ($3 billion/year)
- Require that large corporations file as corporations, not “S” type partnerships ($500 to 600 million/year)
- Enact severance tax on oil produced in California ($1.5 billion/year with oil at $100 a barrel)
- Repeal the single sales factor loophole for multi-state and multinational corporations (1 billion/year)
- Enforce tax collection on deadbeat individuals and businesses (hundreds of millions of dollars)
These are each worthy proposals. But the real problem that needs to be addressed to solve California's budget problems is Proposition 13. It builds in inequities between residential and commercial taxation, and, depending on when a homeowner buys a house, inequities among homeowners as well. Reform of Proposition 13, which locks in a broken budget system, is an urgent priority.
Convince legislators and the governor The problem with these ideas is that in California, any tax increase must be approved by a supermajority of 2/3 in the state legislature—another barrier to sane state policy created by Prop 13. California is one of just three states that requires a 2/3 vote to raise taxes. Each year a small minority of legislators, opposed to tax increases on ideological grounds, can block the will of the majority and prevent a balanced approach to solving the budget crisis. Legislators should be able to enact a necessary tax increase with a simple majority instead of wrangling endlessly with hard core anti-tax ideologues.
Over time we must convince our legislators and the governor that only progressive tax reform can solve the long-term crisis. The problem isn't "overspending." This is a simplistic analysis of a complex problem. California is a big and growing state, and needs adequate revenues to function.
We are currently witnessing the return of the Gilded Age, in which the wealthiest among us continue to increase their riches at the expense of the rest of us. Currently the top one percent of wealth holders in the United States owns one third of the assets of the country. Here in California, the richest one percent has more than doubled its share of California's total yearly income since 1991. Yet this group is paying a lower state tax rate than it did under Pete Wilson, a Republican governor, fifteen years ago.
Don't let people tell you that "we don't have the money" for a decent public education system. The money's there. It's just in the wrong bank accounts.
Resources on the State Budget Crisis
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